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NCAAB 2016-17

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NCAAB 3-13-17NCAAB 2016-17.xlsx

NCAAB MBM 3-13-17

*When comparing these results with what I post on Wagerminds and Cappertek, remember that a Wagerminds unit= 5 units/play, and Cappertek= 11 units/play. These records are 1.00 unit/play, as is the professional record keeping standard. I us max units at my third-party trackers because you must use max units to compete on the leaderboards.

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“ALT ADJ WIN%” and “ALT UNITS” just track a betting scheme variant applied to our plays. The ALT betting scheme is “to win” 1 unit on everything. For example, 1.10 to win 1.00 on a -110 line and 0.91 to win 1.10 on +110 line.

The main win% and units are “to win” 1 unit on favorites and “risking” 1 unit on underdogs. For example: 1.10 to win 1.00 on a -110 line and 1.00 to win 1.10 on a +110 line. As you can see from my records, the main betting scheme has proven more profitable over a large sample.

It’s important to note that all of my records reflect a flat 1.00 unit per bet scale. A lot of services inflate their records by using 5, 10, or even 100 unit scales. They’ll go 6-4 and claim +16 units. This this very misleading, and one of the reasons I make it very clear that every bet is 1.00 unit for my record keeping purposes.

After all, a unit scale should make records universally applicable to different bet sizes, not to inflate records. One unit is whatever an individual bets per game. There is no reason to have more than a 1-2 unit scale, because you shouldn’t be betting more than double your normal amount on any given game, and a 2x bet should still be very rare. If anyone uses more than a 1.00 unit scale for their record keeping, they are most likely scamming in the form of inflated records.

Perspective

“A Life on the Line” Mike Fish ESPN

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